東京地方 天気予報

  降水確率精度検証結果一覧表

表の見方と注意事項

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2024/01
 実際の降水日数/予報日数実際の降水日数割合(%)
予報降水確率0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
 1日前予報0/760/310/100/00/12/30/10/01/11/10/0000 0670 100100 
 2日前予報0/50/101/90/30/10/11/10/00/01/10/00011000100  100 
 3日前予報0/00/91/150/20/20/01/20/01/10/00/0 0700 50 100  
 4日前予報0/00/61/190/40/00/01/11/10/00/00/0 050  100100   
 5日前予報0/00/81/160/40/10/00/01/11/10/00/0 0600  100100  
 6日前予報0/00/51/180/50/10/01/10/01/10/00/0 0600 100 100  
 7日前予報0/00/31/210/51/10/01/10/00/00/00/0 050100 100    

2024/02
 実際の降水日数/予報日数実際の降水日数割合(%)
予報降水確率0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
 1日前予報0/371/401/72/51/36/106/111/12/20/00/0031440336055100100  
 2日前予報0/00/110/31/31/31/12/21/21/22/20/0 0033331001005050100 
 3日前予報0/00/41/110/41/21/13/31/21/11/10/0 0905010010050100100 
 4日前予報0/00/41/111/20/40/14/42/20/01/10/0 095000100100 100 
 5日前予報0/01/21/140/10/41/12/32/21/11/10/0 5070010067100100100 
 6日前予報0/00/11/92/90/32/21/22/21/10/00/0 01122010050100100  
 7日前予報0/00/20/72/92/53/31/21/10/00/00/0 00224010050100   

2024/03
 実際の降水日数/予報日数実際の降水日数割合(%)
予報降水確率0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
 1日前予報0/540/320/112/30/16/93/33/45/52/20/00006706710075100100 
 2日前予報0/20/120/40/10/02/23/41/12/23/30/00000 10075100100100 
 3日前予報0/00/50/120/21/13/42/22/23/30/00/0 00010075100100100  
 4日前予報0/00/40/112/41/31/23/33/31/10/00/0 00503350100100100  
 5日前予報0/00/41/131/41/23/33/32/20/00/00/0 082550100100100   
 6日前予報0/00/20/143/61/23/33/31/10/00/00/0 005050100100100   
 7日前予報0/00/30/103/81/36/61/10/00/00/00/0 003833100100    



2024年合計
 実際の降水日数/予報日数実際の降水日数割合(%)
予報降水確率0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
 1日前予報0/1671/1031/284/81/514/229/154/58/83/30/00145020646080100100 
 2日前予報0/70/331/161/71/43/46/72/33/46/60/0006142575866775100 
 3日前予報0/00/182/380/82/54/56/73/45/51/10/0 05040808675100100 
 4日前予報0/00/142/413/101/71/38/86/61/11/10/0 05301433100100100100 
 5日前予報0/01/143/431/91/74/45/65/52/21/10/0 77111410083100100100 
 6日前予報0/00/82/415/201/65/55/63/32/20/00/0 05251710083100100  
 7日前予報0/00/81/385/224/99/93/41/10/00/00/0 03234410075100   


降水確率的中率のグラフ
降水確率的中率

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Last updated 2024/04/01

連絡先:tf2