東京地方 天気予報
降水確率精度検証結果一覧表
表の見方と注意事項
グラフ 戻る
2023/01
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/33 | 0/59 | 2/17 | 0/9 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | | 33 | 100 | | | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/16 | 1/6 | 0/3 | 1/1 | 1/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 17 | 0 | 100 | 25 | 100 | | | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/15 | 0/5 | 0/4 | 3/3 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 25 | | | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/14 | 0/6 | 0/4 | 3/4 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 33 | | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/15 | 0/7 | 2/5 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 40 | 100 | 50 | | 0 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/13 | 1/9 | 1/5 | 1/1 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 11 | 20 | 100 | 33 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/14 | 1/8 | 2/6 | 0/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 13 | 33 | 0 | 100 | | | | | |
2023/02
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/42 | 0/49 | 0/7 | 0/4 | 0/0 | 3/6 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 50 | 100 | | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/11 | 0/5 | 0/7 | 0/1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | | | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 0/10 | 0/4 | 0/2 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 50 | | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 0/9 | 0/6 | 0/2 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 0 | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/10 | 0/6 | 0/2 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/8 | 0/9 | 1/3 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 50 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/11 | 0/6 | 1/5 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 67 | | | | | |
2023/03
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/38 | 1/43 | 0/15 | 2/7 | 0/1 | 1/3 | 6/8 | 2/3 | 6/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 33 | 75 | 67 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 0/5 | 1/4 | 3/6 | 0/2 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 25 | 50 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/10 | 3/8 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 3/3 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 38 | 50 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/5 | 0/7 | 2/8 | 1/2 | 0/2 | 1/2 | 3/3 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 20 | 0 | 25 | 50 | 0 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 0/8 | 0/7 | 3/4 | 0/3 | 2/2 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 33 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 0 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 2/9 | 0/7 | 2/4 | 2/6 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 22 | 0 | 50 | 33 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/10 | 1/6 | 3/8 | 4/6 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 10 | 17 | 38 | 67 | 100 | | | | |
2023/04
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/49 | 0/32 | 2/15 | 1/6 | 1/3 | 3/7 | 1/1 | 3/3 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | 33 | 43 | 100 | 100 | 75 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/2 | 0/8 | 0/7 | 2/4 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 0 | | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/7 | 0/7 | 2/6 | 0/2 | 0/2 | 1/1 | 4/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 1/9 | 1/6 | 0/3 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 11 | 17 | 0 | 67 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 1/10 | 1/6 | 0/4 | 3/3 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 10 | 17 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 2/10 | 1/9 | 0/3 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 11 | 0 | 67 | 100 | 50 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/12 | 0/8 | 1/3 | 5/6 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 17 | 0 | 33 | 83 | | 0 | | | |
2023/05
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/40 | 0/36 | 1/8 | 2/9 | 0/2 | 5/10 | 9/11 | 6/6 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 22 | 0 | 50 | 82 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/12 | 0/3 | 0/1 | 3/5 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 67 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/7 | 1/7 | 1/3 | 3/6 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 4/5 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 14 | 33 | 50 | 100 | | 80 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 1/6 | 1/5 | 4/7 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 17 | 20 | 57 | 50 | 100 | 67 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 1/9 | 3/9 | 3/4 | 3/4 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 11 | 33 | 75 | 75 | 67 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 2/12 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/4 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 33 | 17 | 40 | 60 | 75 | 50 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/4 | 1/7 | 5/11 | 1/3 | 3/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 25 | 14 | 45 | 33 | 60 | 100 | | | | |
2023/06
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/14 | 2/37 | 1/27 | 2/11 | 1/3 | 5/10 | 5/7 | 3/3 | 5/5 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 50 | 71 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 40 | 60 | 67 | 100 | 80 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 1/5 | 2/7 | 2/3 | 3/5 | 4/4 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 29 | 67 | 60 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/6 | 6/9 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 20 | 50 | 67 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/4 | 2/5 | 2/7 | 7/11 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 25 | 40 | 29 | 64 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 3/7 | 7/11 | 3/9 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 43 | 64 | 33 | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 2/6 | 8/11 | 5/11 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 33 | 73 | 45 | | | | | |
2023/07
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/23 | 0/43 | 2/33 | 2/12 | 0/3 | 2/9 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 0 | 22 | 0 | | | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 0/9 | 2/7 | 1/5 | 1/4 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 29 | 20 | 25 | 0 | | | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/9 | 2/7 | 1/9 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 29 | 11 | 33 | | | 0 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/6 | 1/9 | 1/11 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | 67 | | | 0 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/4 | 0/12 | 2/10 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 50 | | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 1/15 | 3/7 | 0/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 7 | 43 | 0 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/18 | 3/6 | 1/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 0 | 50 | 20 | | | | | |
2023/08
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/13 | 0/22 | 1/42 | 6/25 | 1/4 | 5/11 | 3/6 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 25 | 45 | 50 | 100 | | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/8 | 5/11 | 2/5 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 45 | 40 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/7 | 6/11 | 0/4 | 2/4 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 55 | 0 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | 100 | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 3/10 | 4/10 | 0/5 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 30 | 40 | 0 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/9 | 6/10 | 1/5 | 1/2 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 60 | 20 | 50 | 100 | | 100 | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/5 | 4/13 | 3/6 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 31 | 50 | 80 | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 5/15 | 5/7 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 33 | 71 | 67 | | | | | |
2023/09
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/4 | 0/43 | 1/40 | 1/11 | 0/0 | 7/14 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | | 50 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 1/13 | 0/4 | 1/3 | 3/3 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 8 | 0 | 33 | 100 | 50 | 100 | 50 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/11 | 0/6 | 4/4 | 2/4 | 3/3 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 50 | 100 | 0 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 1/13 | 2/6 | 4/5 | 1/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 8 | 33 | 80 | 25 | 100 | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 1/11 | 3/9 | 2/4 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 9 | 33 | 50 | 60 | | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/9 | 1/9 | 3/8 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 22 | 11 | 38 | 75 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 3/12 | 1/5 | 5/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 25 | 20 | 71 | | | | | |
2023/10
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/39 | 1/49 | 1/21 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 100 | 80 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/15 | 0/7 | 1/2 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 50 | 33 | 100 | | | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 0/13 | 1/2 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 50 | 33 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/7 | 1/15 | 2/4 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 7 | 50 | 33 | | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/5 | 0/12 | 1/6 | 3/6 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 20 | 0 | 17 | 50 | 0 | 100 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/7 | 1/7 | 0/6 | 3/8 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 14 | 0 | 38 | 67 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 1/9 | 2/10 | 2/7 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 11 | 20 | 29 | 50 | | | | | |
2023/11
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/60 | 0/31 | 0/17 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 33 | 67 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/1 | 0/12 | 0/7 | 0/5 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 100 | | | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 0/13 | 0/4 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/7 | 0/14 | 0/5 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/20 | 0/1 | 0/2 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 100 | | 100 | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/19 | 0/2 | 1/4 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 50 | | 100 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/18 | 1/6 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 17 | 50 | 50 | | | | | |
2023/12
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/76 | 0/29 | 0/5 | 1/7 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | | 67 | 67 | | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/3 | 0/13 | 0/5 | 1/3 | 1/3 | 0/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 100 | | | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/17 | 1/2 | 1/5 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 50 | 20 | 50 | | 100 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/19 | 1/2 | 1/3 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 50 | 33 | 0 | | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/15 | 1/4 | 1/5 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 25 | 20 | 100 | 100 | 0 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/15 | 1/6 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 17 | 33 | 50 | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/18 | 2/8 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 25 | 50 | 50 | | | | | |
2023合計
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/431 | 4/473 | 11/247 | 18/107 | 4/17 | 39/84 | 34/47 | 19/20 | 27/28 | 6/6 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 24 | 46 | 72 | 95 | 96 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/6 | 0/105 | 2/80 | 14/56 | 16/41 | 13/28 | 10/12 | 12/13 | 9/10 | 14/14 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 39 | 46 | 83 | 92 | 90 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/67 | 2/114 | 18/64 | 16/45 | 13/30 | 14/15 | 16/18 | 10/11 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 2 | 28 | 36 | 43 | 93 | 89 | 91 | 100 | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/55 | 8/119 | 15/70 | 18/52 | 17/34 | 11/13 | 13/14 | 7/8 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 2 | 7 | 21 | 35 | 50 | 85 | 93 | 88 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 2/42 | 4/119 | 19/80 | 18/54 | 24/43 | 12/14 | 7/9 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 5 | 3 | 24 | 33 | 56 | 86 | 78 | 100 | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/36 | 10/109 | 14/93 | 28/63 | 24/49 | 10/11 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 3 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 49 | 91 | 75 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/27 | 6/109 | 23/112 | 27/61 | 31/53 | 2/2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 4 | 6 | 21 | 44 | 58 | 100 | 0 | | | |
年合計
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/431 | 4/473 | 11/247 | 18/107 | 4/17 | 39/84 | 34/47 | 19/20 | 27/28 | 6/6 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 24 | 46 | 72 | 95 | 96 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/6 | 0/105 | 2/80 | 14/56 | 16/41 | 13/28 | 10/12 | 12/13 | 9/10 | 14/14 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 39 | 46 | 83 | 92 | 90 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/67 | 2/114 | 18/64 | 16/45 | 13/30 | 14/15 | 16/18 | 10/11 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 2 | 28 | 36 | 43 | 93 | 89 | 91 | 100 | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/55 | 8/119 | 15/70 | 18/52 | 17/34 | 11/13 | 13/14 | 7/8 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 2 | 7 | 21 | 35 | 50 | 85 | 93 | 88 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 2/42 | 4/119 | 19/80 | 18/54 | 24/43 | 12/14 | 7/9 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 5 | 3 | 24 | 33 | 56 | 86 | 78 | 100 | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/36 | 10/109 | 14/93 | 28/63 | 24/49 | 10/11 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 3 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 49 | 91 | 75 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/27 | 6/109 | 23/112 | 27/61 | 31/53 | 2/2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 4 | 6 | 21 | 44 | 58 | 100 | 0 | | | |
降水確率的中率のグラフ
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Last updated 2024/01/01
連絡先：tf2