東京地方 天気予報

  降水確率精度検証結果一覧表

表の見方と注意事項

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2022/01
 実際の降水日数/予報日数実際の降水日数割合(%)
予報降水確率0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
 1日前予報0/670/421/81/40/00/11/11/10/00/00/0001325 0100100   
 2日前予報0/00/150/100/21/30/00/01/10/00/00/0 00033  100   
 3日前予報0/00/130/101/20/40/11/10/00/00/00/0 005000100    
 4日前予報0/00/140/91/30/31/20/00/00/00/00/0 0033050     
 5日前予報0/00/161/80/20/31/20/00/00/00/00/0 0130050     
 6日前予報0/00/161/80/31/30/10/00/00/00/00/0 0130330     
 7日前予報0/00/161/101/30/20/00/00/00/00/00/0 010330      

2022/02
 実際の降水日数/予報日数実際の降水日数割合(%)
予報降水確率0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
 1日前予報0/450/501/50/20/01/21/14/43/30/00/000200 50100100100  
 2日前予報0/00/130/80/00/13/31/11/11/10/00/0 00 0100100100100  
 3日前予報0/00/120/70/11/32/21/11/11/10/00/0 00033100100100100  
 4日前予報0/00/120/60/31/22/22/21/10/00/00/0 00050100100100   
 5日前予報0/00/100/70/41/24/41/10/00/00/00/0 00050100100    
 6日前予報0/00/90/80/43/42/21/10/00/00/00/0 00075100100    
 7日前予報0/00/91/100/43/31/11/10/00/00/00/0 0100100100100    

2022/03
 実際の降水日数/予報日数実際の降水日数割合(%)
予報降水確率0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
 1日前予報0/380/491/121/30/07/171/12/21/11/10/000833 41100100100100 
 2日前予報0/00/100/32/72/51/11/12/30/01/10/0 00294010010067 100 
 3日前予報0/00/70/62/83/51/11/22/20/00/00/0 00256010050100   
 4日前予報0/00/70/52/94/60/02/31/10/00/00/0 002267 67100   
 5日前予報0/00/40/92/74/72/21/20/00/00/00/0 00295710050    
 6日前予報0/00/30/93/114/42/30/10/00/00/00/0 0027100670    
 7日前予報0/00/20/94/124/51/20/10/00/00/00/0 003380500    

2022/04
 実際の降水日数/予報日数実際の降水日数割合(%)
予報降水確率0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
 1日前予報0/360/302/153/131/23/55/76/64/42/20/0001323506071100100100 
 2日前予報0/00/52/93/43/41/23/33/30/00/00/0 022757550100100   
 3日前予報0/00/21/72/63/55/53/31/20/00/00/0 014336010010050   
 4日前予報0/00/12/91/44/65/62/21/20/00/00/0 02225678310050   
 5日前予報0/00/03/91/64/75/62/20/00/00/00/0  33175783100    
 6日前予報0/00/03/73/75/104/60/00/00/00/00/0  43435067     
 7日前予報0/00/03/83/75/94/60/00/00/00/00/0  38435667     

2022/05
 実際の降水日数/予報日数実際の降水日数割合(%)
予報降水確率0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
 1日前予報0/241/371/301/71/36/85/54/55/50/00/003314337510080100  
 2日前予報0/00/61/52/83/42/30/02/22/21/10/0 020257567 100100100 
 3日前予報0/00/51/62/73/53/42/22/20/00/00/0 017296075100100   
 4日前予報0/00/41/71/33/95/52/21/10/00/00/0 0143333100100100   
 5日前予報0/00/20/83/83/65/52/20/00/00/00/0 003850100100    
 6日前予報0/00/10/62/115/75/51/10/00/00/00/0 001871100100    
 7日前予報0/00/00/83/84/96/60/00/00/00/00/0  03844100     

2022/06
 実際の降水日数/予報日数実際の降水日数割合(%)
予報降水確率0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
 1日前予報0/240/371/232/110/01/111/71/23/31/20/000418 9145010050 
 2日前予報0/00/30/51/61/61/41/30/11/10/01/1 00171725330100 100
 3日前予報0/00/10/31/61/120/32/20/12/20/00/0 0017801000100  
 4日前予報0/00/00/41/80/103/51/11/20/00/00/0  01306010050   
 5日前予報0/00/00/21/92/132/41/20/00/00/00/0  011155050    
 6日前予報0/00/00/11/123/121/41/10/00/00/00/0  082525100    
 7日前予報0/00/00/11/133/122/40/00/00/00/00/0  082550     

2022/07
 実際の降水日数/予報日数実際の降水日数割合(%)
予報降水確率0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
 1日前予報0/60/350/282/242/38/149/120/20/00/00/000086757750   
 2日前予報0/00/20/91/42/64/52/21/11/20/00/0 0025338010010050  
 3日前予報0/00/00/51/72/95/62/21/10/10/00/0  01422831001000  
 4日前予報0/00/00/33/113/82/43/40/10/00/00/0  0273850750   
 5日前予報0/00/00/23/133/64/81/20/00/00/00/0  023505050    
 6日前予報0/00/00/12/156/93/60/00/00/00/00/0  0136750     
 7日前予報0/00/00/23/166/112/20/00/00/00/00/0  01955100     

2022/08
 実際の降水日数/予報日数実際の降水日数割合(%)
予報降水確率0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
 1日前予報0/81/352/422/172/32/104/63/30/00/00/003512672067100   
 2日前予報0/00/20/52/113/65/51/11/10/00/00/0 001850100100100   
 3日前予報0/00/01/53/132/75/51/10/00/00/00/0  202329100100    
 4日前予報0/00/11/64/124/83/40/00/00/00/00/0 017335075     
 5日前予報0/00/01/64/124/83/50/00/00/00/00/0  17335060     
 6日前予報0/00/01/65/154/52/50/00/00/00/00/0  17338040     
 7日前予報0/00/01/65/144/72/40/00/00/00/00/0  17365750     

2022/09
 実際の降水日数/予報日数実際の降水日数割合(%)
予報降水確率0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
 1日前予報0/42/553/222/60/15/128/134/61/10/00/00414330426267100  
 2日前予報0/00/12/80/41/51/61/13/31/11/10/0 02502017100100100100 
 3日前予報0/00/00/02/112/102/42/32/20/00/00/0   18205067100   
 4日前予報0/00/00/01/93/102/74/40/00/00/00/0   113029100    
 5日前予報0/00/00/01/93/104/91/11/10/00/00/0   113044100100   
 6日前予報0/00/00/01/75/132/70/11/11/10/00/0   1438290100100  
 7日前予報0/00/00/01/55/163/80/01/10/00/00/0   203138 100   

2022/10
 実際の降水日数/予報日数実際の降水日数割合(%)
予報降水確率0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
 1日前予報0/441/322/112/51/26/165/101/11/12/20/0031840503850100100100 
 2日前予報0/22/110/61/10/23/32/22/22/20/00/001801000100100100100  
 3日前予報0/00/72/102/42/42/22/22/20/00/00/0 0205050100100100   
 4日前予報0/00/51/91/43/54/53/30/00/00/00/0 011256080100    
 5日前予報0/00/21/91/74/64/42/30/00/00/00/0 011146710067    
 6日前予報0/00/10/104/83/65/60/00/00/00/00/0 00505083     
 7日前予報0/00/01/113/105/63/40/00/00/00/00/0  9308375     

2022/11
 実際の降水日数/予報日数実際の降水日数割合(%)
予報降水確率0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
 1日前予報0/340/521/120/30/23/56/81/12/21/10/0008006075100100100 
 2日前予報0/00/150/30/11/42/32/20/01/11/10/0 0002567100 100100 
 3日前予報0/00/70/91/60/13/41/11/11/10/00/0 0017075100100100  
 4日前予報0/00/40/131/52/43/30/00/01/10/00/0 002050100  100  
 5日前予報0/00/31/140/52/43/31/10/00/00/00/0 07050100100    
 6日前予報0/00/11/151/62/53/30/00/00/00/00/0 071740100     
 7日前予報0/00/10/104/130/23/40/00/00/00/00/0 0031075     

2022/12
 実際の降水日数/予報日数実際の降水日数割合(%)
予報降水確率0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
 1日前予報0/460/580/61/70/02/20/03/31/11/10/000014 100 100100100 
 2日前予報0/01/210/00/32/30/12/21/10/00/00/0 5 0670100100   
 3日前予報0/01/170/50/23/51/10/00/01/10/00/0 60060100  100  
 4日前予報0/00/141/90/24/50/01/10/00/00/00/0 011080 100    
 5日前予報0/00/102/130/33/40/01/10/00/00/00/0 015075 100    
 6日前予報0/00/52/172/51/31/10/00/00/00/00/0 0124033100     
 7日前予報0/01/62/162/60/11/20/00/00/00/00/0 171333050     

2022合計
 実際の降水日数/予報日数実際の降水日数割合(%)
予報降水確率0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
 1日前予報0/3765/51215/21417/1027/1644/10346/7130/3621/218/90/0017174443658310089 
 2日前予報0/23/1045/7112/5119/4923/3616/1817/199/104/41/1037243964898990100100
 3日前予報0/01/715/7317/7322/7029/3818/2012/145/60/00/0 17233176908683  
 4日前予報0/00/626/8016/7331/7630/4320/225/81/10/00/0 082241709163100  
 5日前予報0/00/479/8716/8533/7637/5213/171/10/00/00/0 01019437176100   
 6日前予報0/00/368/8824/10442/8130/493/51/11/10/00/0 0923526160100100  
 7日前予報0/01/349/9130/11139/8328/431/21/10/00/00/0 31027476550100   



年合計
 実際の降水日数/予報日数実際の降水日数割合(%)
予報降水確率0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
 1日前予報0/3765/51215/21417/1027/1644/10346/7130/3621/218/90/0017174443658310089 
 2日前予報0/23/1045/7112/5119/4923/3616/1817/199/104/41/1037243964898990100100
 3日前予報0/01/715/7317/7322/7029/3818/2012/145/60/00/0 17233176908683  
 4日前予報0/00/626/8016/7331/7630/4320/225/81/10/00/0 082241709163100  
 5日前予報0/00/479/8716/8533/7637/5213/171/10/00/00/0 01019437176100   
 6日前予報0/00/368/8824/10442/8130/493/51/11/10/00/0 0923526160100100  
 7日前予報0/01/349/9130/11139/8328/431/21/10/00/00/0 31027476550100   


降水確率的中率のグラフ
降水確率的中率

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Last updated 2023/01/01

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