東京地方 天気予報
降水確率精度検証結果一覧表
表の見方と注意事項
グラフ 戻る
2012/01
| 実際の降水日数/予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合(%) |
予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
1日前予報 | 0/39 | 0/57 | 0/11 | 0/3 | 1/2 | 1/3 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 33 | 67 | 100 | 75 | | |
2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 0/18 | 0/4 | 1/1 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | | | | | |
3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 0/13 | 1/5 | 0/2 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 100 | | | | | |
4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 0/15 | 1/4 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | | 100 | 100 | | | |
5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/7 | 0/10 | 0/6 | 3/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | | | 100 | | | |
6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 0/12 | 2/6 | 1/5 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 33 | 20 | 50 | | | | | |
7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 1/14 | 1/6 | 2/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 7 | 17 | 29 | | | | | | |
2012/02
| 実際の降水日数/予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合(%) |
予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
1日前予報 | 0/31 | 0/46 | 0/11 | 2/10 | 1/1 | 2/4 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 3/5 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 100 | 50 | 33 | 100 | 60 | 100 | |
2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/14 | 1/1 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 4/5 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 100 | 33 | 100 | 80 | | 100 | | |
3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/12 | 2/4 | 1/2 | 3/5 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 60 | 100 | | | | |
4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 0/8 | 2/5 | 2/3 | 3/5 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 40 | 67 | 60 | 0 | 100 | | | |
5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 2/15 | 0/1 | 3/4 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 13 | 0 | 75 | 50 | | | | | |
6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 2/15 | 0/2 | 6/10 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 13 | 0 | 60 | | | | | | |
7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 2/15 | 1/5 | 5/8 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 13 | 20 | 63 | | | | | | |
2012/03
| 実際の降水日数/予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合(%) |
予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
1日前予報 | 0/31 | 0/38 | 1/21 | 0/6 | 3/6 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 7/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 50 | 40 | 80 | 100 | 100 | | |
2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 0/9 | 0/4 | 0/2 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 5/5 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75 | | 100 | 100 | | |
3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/8 | 0/4 | 1/6 | 3/3 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/8 | 0/4 | 3/8 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 5/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/7 | 1/5 | 2/8 | 2/2 | 5/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 20 | 25 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 1/8 | 3/8 | 4/4 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 13 | 38 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/8 | 1/9 | 6/12 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 13 | 11 | 50 | 100 | | | | | |
2012/04
| 実際の降水日数/予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合(%) |
予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
1日前予報 | 0/19 | 0/43 | 2/22 | 1/12 | 1/3 | 2/4 | 4/7 | 2/3 | 5/5 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 50 | 57 | 67 | 100 | 100 | |
2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 1/10 | 1/5 | 1/4 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 10 | 20 | 25 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 1/7 | 1/8 | 1/4 | 3/3 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 14 | 13 | 25 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/5 | 1/8 | 1/5 | 6/6 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | 100 | | 100 | | | |
5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/9 | 3/8 | 1/6 | 5/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 38 | 17 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/9 | 2/9 | 2/7 | 4/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 11 | 22 | 29 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/7 | 1/10 | 4/9 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 14 | 10 | 44 | 100 | | | | | |
2012/05
| 実際の降水日数/予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合(%) |
予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
1日前予報 | 0/25 | 0/38 | 2/21 | 1/11 | 1/5 | 3/8 | 3/5 | 3/3 | 2/4 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 20 | 38 | 60 | 100 | 50 | 100 | 100 |
2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/9 | 2/10 | 0/2 | 4/5 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 80 | | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/10 | 1/8 | 5/7 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 13 | 71 | 50 | 0 | 100 | | | |
4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 3/15 | 3/5 | 3/4 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 20 | 60 | 75 | 50 | | | | |
5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 5/17 | 2/5 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 29 | 40 | 100 | | | | | |
6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/8 | 5/17 | 3/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 13 | 29 | 60 | 100 | | | | | |
7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/7 | 3/18 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 29 | 17 | 80 | 100 | | | | | |
2012/06
| 実際の降水日数/予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合(%) |
予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
1日前予報 | 0/9 | 0/40 | 0/28 | 3/6 | 0/3 | 3/15 | 6/9 | 6/7 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 20 | 67 | 86 | 100 | | |
2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 3/11 | 2/4 | 2/5 | 2/2 | 1/3 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 27 | 50 | 40 | 100 | 33 | 67 | | |
3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 2/6 | 3/11 | 3/7 | 1/1 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 33 | 27 | 43 | 100 | 75 | | | |
4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 4/6 | 1/10 | 5/10 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 67 | 10 | 50 | 0 | 100 | | | |
5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/6 | 6/15 | 4/6 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | | 17 | 40 | 67 | 33 | | | | |
6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/6 | 7/18 | 2/4 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | | 33 | 39 | 50 | 50 | | | | |
7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 3/7 | 8/21 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | | 43 | 38 | 50 | | | | | |
2012/07
| 実際の降水日数/予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合(%) |
予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
1日前予報 | 0/6 | 0/37 | 1/26 | 2/26 | 1/8 | 11/17 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 65 | 100 | | | | |
2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/13 | 6/8 | 4/6 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 0 | 75 | 67 | 100 | | | | |
3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 5/13 | 4/8 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 38 | 50 | 60 | | | | | |
4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 4/16 | 6/6 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 25 | 100 | 50 | | | | | |
5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 4/16 | 7/8 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 25 | 88 | 33 | | | | | |
6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 4/16 | 8/10 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 25 | 80 | 0 | | | | | |
7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 4/16 | 8/13 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 25 | 62 | 0 | | | | | |
2012/08
| 実際の降水日数/予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合(%) |
予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
1日前予報 | 0/16 | 0/51 | 0/26 | 0/20 | 2/4 | 3/6 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 0 | | | | |
2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/14 | 1/12 | 1/2 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 8 | 50 | 33 | | | | | |
3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/14 | 0/10 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 100 | 0 | | | | |
4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/12 | 0/6 | 3/8 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 0 | | | | |
5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/10 | 0/11 | 3/5 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 0 | | | | | |
6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/12 | 0/12 | 3/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 0 | 43 | | | | | | |
7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 3/18 | 0/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 17 | 0 | | | | | | |
2012/09
| 実際の降水日数/予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合(%) |
予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
1日前予報 | 0/6 | 1/28 | 2/30 | 0/18 | 5/14 | 7/14 | 4/6 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 36 | 50 | 67 | 100 | 100 | | |
2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 3/9 | 4/8 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 33 | 50 | 40 | 80 | 50 | 0 | | | |
3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 4/7 | 4/8 | 4/10 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 57 | 50 | 40 | 33 | 50 | | | | |
4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 8/14 | 5/11 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 33 | 57 | 45 | 0 | | | | | |
5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 10/18 | 2/6 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 50 | 56 | 33 | 0 | | | | | |
6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 8/16 | 4/10 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 67 | 50 | 40 | 0 | | | | | |
7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/5 | 9/16 | 3/9 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 40 | 56 | 33 | | | | | | |
2012/10
| 実際の降水日数/予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合(%) |
予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
1日前予報 | 0/17 | 1/49 | 1/21 | 5/17 | 2/4 | 4/8 | 5/6 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 50 | 50 | 83 | 0 | 100 | | |
2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/13 | 3/3 | 3/5 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 100 | 60 | 50 | 50 | 100 | | | |
3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/9 | 3/8 | 3/4 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 38 | 75 | 75 | 100 | | 0 | | |
4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/5 | 1/9 | 5/6 | 4/6 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 83 | 67 | 0 | | | | |
5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/5 | 0/8 | 7/12 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 58 | 75 | | | | | |
6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/8 | 1/9 | 8/12 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 67 | 100 | | | | | |
7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/10 | 2/10 | 7/10 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 20 | 70 | 100 | | | | | |
2012/11
| 実際の降水日数/予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合(%) |
予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
1日前予報 | 0/38 | 0/42 | 0/14 | 1/8 | 0/2 | 4/8 | 1/1 | 3/3 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 1/14 | 0/5 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 7 | 0 | | 50 | 100 | 100 | | | |
3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/13 | 1/8 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 3/3 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 13 | | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | |
4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 0/9 | 0/9 | 1/1 | 3/3 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/11 | 0/9 | 2/2 | 3/4 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 75 | 100 | | | | |
6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/10 | 1/11 | 2/2 | 4/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 100 | 80 | | | | | |
7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/11 | 1/10 | 5/7 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 71 | 100 | | | | | |
2012/12
| 実際の降水日数/予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合(%) |
予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
1日前予報 | 0/45 | 0/38 | 1/13 | 1/10 | 1/2 | 5/8 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 50 | 63 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | |
2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/17 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 4/4 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | |
3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 1/15 | 1/4 | 1/2 | 4/4 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 7 | 25 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/15 | 2/5 | 1/3 | 6/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 40 | 33 | 100 | | | | | |
5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/17 | 2/5 | 1/3 | 6/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 40 | 33 | 100 | | | | | |
6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/15 | 1/6 | 4/5 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 17 | 80 | 100 | | | | | |
7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/17 | 1/5 | 5/6 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 20 | 83 | 100 | | | | | |
2012合計
| 実際の降水日数/予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合(%) |
予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
1日前予報 | 0/282 | 2/507 | 10/244 | 16/147 | 18/54 | 47/100 | 36/54 | 26/29 | 31/36 | 10/10 | 1/1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 47 | 67 | 90 | 86 | 100 | 100 |
2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/30 | 5/131 | 16/78 | 17/37 | 29/41 | 15/18 | 19/22 | 7/8 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 4 | 21 | 46 | 71 | 83 | 86 | 88 | 100 | |
3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/32 | 6/114 | 21/86 | 25/59 | 29/41 | 17/21 | 9/10 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 5 | 24 | 42 | 71 | 81 | 90 | 67 | | |
4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/34 | 1/91 | 26/101 | 31/69 | 32/47 | 7/12 | 11/11 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 1 | 26 | 45 | 68 | 58 | 100 | 100 | | |
5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/21 | 4/98 | 26/110 | 39/81 | 30/44 | 9/11 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 4 | 24 | 48 | 68 | 82 | 100 | | | |
6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/12 | 6/104 | 27/118 | 51/99 | 21/28 | 4/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 6 | 23 | 52 | 75 | 80 | | | | |
7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 9/104 | 30/130 | 57/111 | 13/15 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 9 | 23 | 51 | 87 | | | | | |
降水確率的中率のグラフ
戻る
Last updated 2013/01/09
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