東京地方 天気予報
降水確率精度検証結果一覧表
表の見方と注意事項
グラフ 戻る
2007/01
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/57 | 0/34 | 1/16 | 0/5 | 1/4 | 1/5 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 20 | 50 | | | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/17 | 0/4 | 1/4 | 0/1 | 0/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 100 | | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/10 | 0/8 | 2/5 | 0/1 | 0/3 | 1/1 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 33 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/12 | 0/1 | 1/8 | 1/5 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | 33 | 50 | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 1/7 | 0/5 | 1/3 | 1/6 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 14 | 0 | 33 | 17 | 50 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 0/9 | 1/5 | 2/4 | 1/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 20 | 50 | 14 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 0/8 | 2/6 | 1/6 | 1/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 33 | 17 | 20 | | | | | |
2007/02
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/66 | 0/20 | 0/8 | 2/7 | 0/2 | 3/4 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 75 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/17 | 0/4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 67 | | | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/14 | 0/6 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 3/3 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/11 | 0/4 | 0/5 | 0/2 | 4/4 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 0/8 | 0/5 | 0/0 | 5/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 100 | 100 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 0/7 | 3/8 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 38 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/7 | 2/8 | 0/7 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 25 | 0 | 60 | | 100 | | | | |
2007/03
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/53 | 0/40 | 1/14 | 0/7 | 0/1 | 1/5 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/15 | 0/6 | 0/3 | 0/1 | 0/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/14 | 0/6 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 2/4 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 67 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/11 | 0/4 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 1/2 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 50 | 67 | 0 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 0/8 | 1/6 | 1/4 | 1/5 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 17 | 25 | 20 | 50 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/10 | 1/10 | 1/4 | 1/3 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 33 | 33 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 1/9 | 2/9 | 1/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 11 | 22 | 20 | | | | | |
2007/04
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/31 | 0/31 | 2/16 | 2/7 | 3/7 | 9/17 | 1/4 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 29 | 43 | 53 | 25 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/4 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/4 | 1/1 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 25 | 40 | 20 | 60 | 25 | 100 | 75 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 2/6 | 2/6 | 0/3 | 4/6 | 2/2 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 33 | 33 | 0 | 67 | 100 | 67 | | 0 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 3/5 | 1/4 | 0/4 | 3/7 | 6/8 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 60 | 25 | 0 | 43 | 75 | 50 | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 3/5 | 1/4 | 4/11 | 4/5 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 33 | 60 | 25 | 36 | 80 | 50 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/5 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 6/14 | 3/5 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 20 | 67 | 100 | 43 | 60 | 0 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 2/4 | 3/9 | 7/13 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 50 | 33 | 54 | 100 | | | | | |
2007/05
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/45 | 1/38 | 1/14 | 0/6 | 0/1 | 5/11 | 4/4 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/10 | 0/9 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 4/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 50 | | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/11 | 0/6 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 4/5 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 25 | | 100 | 80 | 50 | 50 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 0/7 | 0/4 | 1/2 | 3/4 | 4/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 75 | 80 | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/6 | 0/7 | 0/6 | 3/6 | 2/4 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 17 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 100 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 1/7 | 1/7 | 3/9 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 14 | 14 | 33 | 67 | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 1/7 | 2/8 | 3/11 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 33 | 14 | 25 | 27 | 0 | 100 | | | | |
2007/06
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 2/25 | 1/36 | 2/22 | 4/16 | 1/5 | 3/8 | 1/3 | 0/2 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 20 | 38 | 33 | 0 | 67 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 0/8 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 0/1 | 4/5 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 33 | 0 | 40 | 20 | 0 | 80 | 67 | | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/7 | 0/3 | 1/5 | 2/4 | 1/2 | 3/5 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 14 | 0 | 20 | 50 | 50 | 60 | 67 | 0 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 0/2 | 3/7 | 1/5 | 2/4 | 4/6 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 43 | 20 | 50 | 67 | 0 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 2/5 | 2/7 | 2/8 | 1/3 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 40 | 29 | 25 | 33 | 75 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 1/6 | 3/8 | 3/8 | 2/3 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 17 | 38 | 38 | 67 | 33 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 3/6 | 1/6 | 3/11 | 3/4 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 50 | 17 | 27 | 75 | 0 | | | | |
2007/07
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/7 | 0/25 | 5/35 | 3/17 | 2/9 | 5/11 | 1/6 | 6/7 | 4/5 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | 22 | 45 | 17 | 86 | 80 | | 100 |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 0/3 | 1/7 | 1/4 | 5/7 | 3/3 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 0 | 14 | 25 | 71 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 2/7 | 2/6 | 1/3 | 3/4 | 3/6 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 29 | 33 | 33 | 75 | 50 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 3/8 | 3/12 | 4/6 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 38 | 25 | 67 | 50 | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 1/5 | 3/13 | 7/10 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 33 | 20 | 23 | 70 | | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 2/5 | 3/13 | 7/10 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 40 | 23 | 70 | 0 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/4 | 5/17 | 5/9 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | | 25 | 29 | 56 | 100 | | | | |
2007/08
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/26 | 0/39 | 1/33 | 1/13 | 0/3 | 1/7 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/7 | 1/6 | 1/8 | 1/6 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 17 | 13 | 17 | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 1/6 | 1/7 | 1/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 17 | 14 | 14 | | | 0 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 2/9 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 0 | 22 | | | 0 | 0 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 2/6 | 0/7 | 1/4 | 0/2 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 33 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/7 | 1/8 | 1/10 | 1/2 | 0/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 0 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/9 | 1/14 | 2/4 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 50 | 0 | | | | | |
2007/09
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/12 | 0/38 | 1/20 | 2/12 | 7/11 | 2/9 | 3/6 | 5/6 | 1/1 | 4/4 | 1/1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 64 | 22 | 50 | 83 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 1/5 | 2/7 | 0/5 | 1/2 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 29 | 0 | 50 | 75 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/8 | 3/8 | 0/3 | 0/2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 3/6 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 13 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 50 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/7 | 0/2 | 4/9 | 2/6 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 14 | 0 | 44 | 33 | 67 | | 33 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/4 | 0/3 | 4/9 | 2/8 | 3/5 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 25 | 0 | 44 | 25 | 60 | 0 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 1/7 | 3/9 | 3/7 | 3/4 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 14 | 33 | 43 | 75 | 0 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 1/5 | 3/9 | 3/7 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 33 | 43 | 60 | | 0 | | | |
2007/10
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/22 | 0/34 | 1/23 | 1/21 | 1/6 | 2/7 | 3/3 | 3/4 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 100 | 75 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 0/1 | 1/10 | 3/6 | 2/5 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 50 | | | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 0/10 | 3/4 | 2/4 | 3/5 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 75 | 50 | 60 | 0 | 0 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/8 | 1/8 | 2/5 | 0/3 | 2/4 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 13 | 13 | 40 | 0 | 50 | 67 | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/8 | 1/6 | 1/8 | 2/4 | 2/3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 13 | 17 | 13 | 50 | 67 | 50 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 2/9 | 1/7 | 3/6 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 22 | 14 | 50 | 50 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 2/11 | 3/9 | 3/7 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 18 | 33 | 43 | 0 | | | | | |
2007/11
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/39 | 1/38 | 1/18 | 0/7 | 0/5 | 1/4 | 0/2 | 3/3 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 100 | 75 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/11 | 0/9 | 0/2 | 0/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | | 33 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/10 | 0/5 | 0/6 | 0/1 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 50 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/7 | 0/8 | 0/2 | 0/4 | 0/3 | 2/2 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 50 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 0/6 | 0/7 | 1/5 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 25 | | 100 | 100 | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/10 | 1/7 | 0/5 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 100 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/10 | 1/10 | 1/4 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 67 | | | | | |
2007/12
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/48 | 1/43 | 0/20 | 1/2 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 3/4 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/16 | 0/6 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/16 | 1/6 | 0/4 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 6 | 17 | 0 | 50 | | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/13 | 3/11 | 0/3 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 100 | | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/12 | 2/9 | 1/6 | 0/1 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 8 | 22 | 17 | 0 | 67 | | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/12 | 2/9 | 2/6 | 0/1 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 22 | 33 | 0 | 67 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/12 | 3/11 | 1/2 | 1/4 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 27 | 50 | 25 | 50 | | | | | |
2007合計
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 2/431 | 4/416 | 16/239 | 16/120 | 15/56 | 33/89 | 21/39 | 26/32 | 22/26 | 8/8 | 4/4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 37 | 54 | 81 | 85 | 100 | 100 |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 2/109 | 4/68 | 10/53 | 10/40 | 11/31 | 22/28 | 15/19 | 13/14 | 2/3 | 0/0 | | 2 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 35 | 79 | 79 | 93 | 67 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 5/110 | 7/74 | 10/52 | 12/34 | 10/20 | 24/34 | 18/35 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 5 | 9 | 19 | 35 | 50 | 71 | 51 | 50 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 5/97 | 6/58 | 13/65 | 14/61 | 27/43 | 19/27 | 5/13 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 5 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 63 | 70 | 38 | 0 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 5/74 | 12/73 | 11/75 | 20/67 | 29/55 | 10/18 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 7 | 16 | 15 | 30 | 53 | 56 | 50 | 100 | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/56 | 10/86 | 21/84 | 26/75 | 25/49 | 4/13 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 2 | 12 | 25 | 35 | 51 | 31 | 100 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/44 | 14/87 | 19/93 | 34/98 | 18/38 | 3/4 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 2 | 16 | 20 | 35 | 47 | 75 | 0 | | | |
降水確率的中率のグラフ
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Last updated 2008/01/01
連絡先：tf2