東京地方 天気予報
降水確率精度検証結果一覧表
表の見方と注意事項
グラフ 戻る
2024/01
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/76 | 0/31 | 0/10 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 67 | 0 | | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/5 | 0/10 | 1/9 | 0/3 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | | | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 1/15 | 0/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | 50 | | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 1/19 | 0/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 5 | 0 | | | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 1/16 | 0/4 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | 100 | 100 | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 1/18 | 0/5 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | 100 | | 100 | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 1/21 | 0/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 5 | 0 | 100 | | 100 | | | | |
2024/02
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/37 | 1/40 | 1/7 | 2/5 | 1/3 | 6/10 | 6/11 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 40 | 33 | 60 | 55 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/11 | 0/3 | 1/3 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 100 | 100 | 50 | 50 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 1/11 | 0/4 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 3/3 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 9 | 0 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 50 | 100 | 100 | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 1/11 | 1/2 | 0/4 | 0/1 | 4/4 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 9 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | | 100 | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 1/14 | 0/1 | 0/4 | 1/1 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 50 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 67 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 1/9 | 2/9 | 0/3 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 11 | 22 | 0 | 100 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/7 | 2/9 | 2/5 | 3/3 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 22 | 40 | 100 | 50 | 100 | | | |
2024/03
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/54 | 0/32 | 0/11 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 6/9 | 3/3 | 3/4 | 5/5 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 0 | 67 | 100 | 75 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/2 | 0/12 | 0/4 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 100 | 75 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 0/12 | 0/2 | 1/1 | 3/4 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 75 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/11 | 2/4 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 3/3 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 50 | 33 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 1/13 | 1/4 | 1/2 | 3/3 | 3/3 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 8 | 25 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/14 | 3/6 | 1/2 | 3/3 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/10 | 3/8 | 1/3 | 6/6 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 38 | 33 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
2024/04
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/46 | 1/22 | 3/18 | 0/11 | 0/2 | 4/6 | 4/6 | 2/3 | 4/4 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 67 | 67 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/2 | 1/9 | 1/3 | 1/3 | 1/3 | 3/4 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 75 | 33 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 2/6 | 1/4 | 3/8 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 33 | 25 | 38 | 50 | | 75 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 2/9 | 0/3 | 4/8 | 2/4 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 22 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 67 | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 2/10 | 2/4 | 3/9 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 50 | 33 | 67 | 67 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/9 | 4/11 | 2/4 | 1/4 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 22 | 36 | 50 | 25 | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/8 | 4/12 | 2/4 | 1/4 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 25 | 33 | 50 | 25 | 100 | | | | |
2024年合計
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/213 | 2/125 | 4/46 | 4/19 | 1/7 | 18/28 | 13/21 | 6/8 | 12/12 | 5/5 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 14 | 64 | 62 | 75 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/9 | 1/42 | 2/19 | 2/10 | 2/7 | 6/8 | 7/10 | 3/4 | 5/6 | 6/6 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 29 | 75 | 70 | 75 | 83 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/23 | 4/44 | 1/12 | 5/13 | 5/7 | 6/7 | 6/8 | 6/6 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 71 | 86 | 75 | 100 | 100 | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/16 | 4/50 | 3/13 | 5/15 | 3/7 | 10/11 | 7/7 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 43 | 91 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/15 | 5/53 | 3/13 | 4/16 | 6/7 | 7/9 | 5/5 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 7 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 86 | 78 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 4/50 | 9/31 | 3/10 | 6/9 | 7/8 | 3/3 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 8 | 29 | 30 | 67 | 88 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 3/46 | 9/34 | 6/13 | 10/13 | 5/6 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 7 | 26 | 46 | 77 | 83 | 100 | | | |
降水確率的中率のグラフ
戻る
Last updated 2024/05/01
連絡先：tf2