東京地方 天気予報
降水確率精度検証結果一覧表
表の見方と注意事項
グラフ 戻る
2021/01
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/43 | 0/52 | 1/13 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 25 | | 50 | 67 | 100 | 50 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/17 | 1/4 | 0/3 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 25 | 0 | 33 | 100 | 50 | | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/16 | 0/4 | 1/4 | 0/2 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 67 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/16 | 0/5 | 1/3 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 100 | 0 | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/16 | 0/6 | 1/4 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 25 | 100 | 50 | 100 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/17 | 0/5 | 1/4 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 25 | 67 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/17 | 0/5 | 3/7 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 43 | 100 | | 100 | | | | |
2021/02
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/59 | 0/39 | 0/9 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | 100 | 100 | | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/17 | 0/5 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 50 | 100 | | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/18 | 0/4 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 100 | 0 | 100 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/15 | 0/5 | 0/4 | 0/1 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 100 | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/16 | 0/4 | 0/4 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 50 | | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/15 | 0/7 | 1/4 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 25 | 100 | 0 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/12 | 0/7 | 2/8 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 25 | | 0 | | | | | |
2021/03
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/32 | 0/46 | 0/11 | 3/13 | 2/4 | 3/6 | 3/3 | 4/5 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 50 | 50 | 100 | 80 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 0/8 | 1/5 | 1/6 | 0/2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 20 | 17 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/8 | 1/4 | 1/7 | 0/4 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/8 | 0/6 | 2/6 | 1/6 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 17 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/5 | 1/9 | 2/9 | 1/3 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 33 | 75 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/6 | 1/9 | 2/10 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 75 | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/5 | 1/12 | 3/9 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 75 | | | | | |
2021/04
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/36 | 0/43 | 0/12 | 3/10 | 0/1 | 4/8 | 5/6 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 50 | 83 | 50 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/10 | 1/8 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 3/3 | 0/2 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 13 | 0 | | 100 | 0 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/11 | 1/6 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 17 | 33 | 100 | | 100 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/13 | 3/8 | 0/2 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/12 | 3/11 | 1/1 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 27 | 100 | 67 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 4/17 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 24 | | 67 | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 4/18 | 1/2 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 22 | 50 | 67 | 100 | | | | |
2021/05
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/22 | 1/40 | 1/20 | 2/17 | 2/4 | 6/15 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 50 | 40 | 100 | 50 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 1/6 | 0/6 | 5/7 | 4/5 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 17 | 0 | 71 | 80 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/9 | 0/6 | 6/9 | 4/4 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 11 | 0 | 67 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/9 | 2/6 | 5/9 | 3/4 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 11 | 33 | 56 | 75 | 100 | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 1/5 | 2/8 | 7/11 | 2/4 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 25 | 64 | 50 | 100 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 6/11 | 4/11 | 3/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 55 | 36 | 60 | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 5/11 | 4/11 | 3/4 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 33 | 45 | 36 | 75 | 50 | | | | |
2021/06
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/14 | 0/27 | 1/21 | 6/27 | 1/3 | 4/14 | 6/9 | 1/2 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 33 | 29 | 67 | 50 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 1/6 | 2/5 | 5/8 | 2/2 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 17 | 40 | 63 | 100 | 0 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/8 | 5/8 | 4/6 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 0 | 63 | 67 | 67 | 0 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 1/8 | 4/7 | 4/7 | 2/3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 13 | 57 | 57 | 67 | 50 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 1/7 | 4/7 | 3/6 | 3/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 14 | 57 | 50 | 60 | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/6 | 5/10 | 4/8 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 75 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/5 | 5/11 | 5/9 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 0 | 45 | 56 | 67 | | | | |
2021/07
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/11 | 0/25 | 0/20 | 0/14 | 3/8 | 7/28 | 6/7 | 6/6 | 4/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 25 | 86 | 100 | 80 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/6 | 0/3 | 2/7 | 4/6 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 67 | 67 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/7 | 0/3 | 2/6 | 4/6 | 3/4 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 67 | 75 | 100 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/7 | 1/4 | 1/7 | 7/9 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 78 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/5 | 1/8 | 2/8 | 6/7 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 25 | 86 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 0/7 | 4/11 | 6/7 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 0 | 36 | 86 | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/10 | 4/10 | 7/8 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 0 | 40 | 88 | | | | | |
2021/08
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/7 | 1/20 | 2/44 | 1/15 | 2/4 | 5/18 | 9/9 | 2/3 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 28 | 100 | 67 | 75 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/7 | 2/11 | 0/2 | 3/4 | 4/4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 18 | 0 | 75 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/7 | 1/9 | 1/4 | 3/4 | 5/5 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 11 | 25 | 75 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/13 | 4/7 | 5/6 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 0 | 57 | 83 | 100 | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 2/15 | 4/7 | 6/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 13 | 57 | 86 | | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 3/14 | 6/11 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 21 | 55 | 100 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 4/16 | 6/9 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 25 | 67 | 100 | | | | | |
2021/09
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/7 | 0/40 | 1/25 | 2/11 | 2/4 | 7/15 | 6/10 | 5/5 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 50 | 47 | 60 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 2/7 | 2/7 | 2/3 | 3/3 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 29 | 29 | 67 | 100 | 67 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 2/8 | 4/9 | 1/2 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 25 | 44 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/4 | 2/8 | 7/13 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 25 | 54 | 67 | | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 3/9 | 7/14 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 33 | 50 | 67 | | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 4/11 | 7/14 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 36 | 50 | 50 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 5/14 | 6/13 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 36 | 46 | 50 | | | | | |
2021/10
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/37 | 0/35 | 0/21 | 3/7 | 2/4 | 1/4 | 6/7 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 50 | 25 | 86 | 80 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/8 | 0/6 | 1/6 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 13 | 0 | 17 | 60 | | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 1/7 | 2/9 | 2/3 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 14 | 22 | 67 | 100 | | 100 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 1/8 | 2/8 | 2/5 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 13 | 25 | 40 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 1/9 | 3/11 | 3/5 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 11 | 27 | 60 | 100 | 100 | | 100 | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/8 | 6/16 | 1/3 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 13 | 38 | 33 | 75 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/6 | 4/16 | 3/6 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 17 | 25 | 50 | 100 | | | | | |
2021/11
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/53 | 0/39 | 1/12 | 1/5 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 3/3 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 50 | 50 | 100 | 50 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/14 | 0/6 | 1/3 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 33 | 60 | | | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/13 | 0/8 | 2/3 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 67 | 50 | | | 100 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/11 | 0/10 | 1/2 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 50 | 50 | | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/11 | 0/10 | 1/2 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 50 | 50 | | 100 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/10 | 0/8 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 40 | 40 | | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 1/9 | 1/6 | 2/5 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 11 | 17 | 40 | 100 | | | | | |
2021/12
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/63 | 0/37 | 1/9 | 0/3 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/15 | 0/9 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/16 | 0/7 | 0/2 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/13 | 1/9 | 1/5 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 11 | 20 | 100 | 100 | | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/13 | 1/9 | 0/4 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 11 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/12 | 1/10 | 1/5 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 10 | 20 | 100 | | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/13 | 1/9 | 2/6 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 11 | 33 | 100 | 100 | | | | | |
2021合計
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/384 | 2/443 | 8/217 | 22/126 | 16/37 | 41/116 | 52/63 | 29/36 | 24/27 | 10/10 | 1/1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 43 | 35 | 83 | 81 | 89 | 100 | 100 |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/92 | 3/77 | 9/58 | 20/48 | 23/33 | 19/24 | 14/16 | 13/13 | 4/4 | 0/0 | | 1 | 4 | 16 | 42 | 70 | 79 | 88 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/79 | 2/81 | 10/65 | 26/57 | 26/37 | 20/23 | 15/16 | 7/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 46 | 70 | 87 | 94 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/65 | 3/83 | 14/75 | 29/65 | 33/47 | 15/17 | 11/12 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 4 | 19 | 45 | 70 | 88 | 92 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/62 | 3/75 | 18/92 | 36/71 | 27/40 | 18/21 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 4 | 20 | 51 | 68 | 86 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/55 | 2/68 | 29/109 | 37/82 | 26/38 | 12/13 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 3 | 27 | 45 | 68 | 92 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/51 | 4/60 | 31/129 | 37/79 | 29/39 | 5/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 7 | 24 | 47 | 74 | 71 | | | | |
年合計
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/384 | 2/443 | 8/217 | 22/126 | 16/37 | 41/116 | 52/63 | 29/36 | 24/27 | 10/10 | 1/1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 43 | 35 | 83 | 81 | 89 | 100 | 100 |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/92 | 3/77 | 9/58 | 20/48 | 23/33 | 19/24 | 14/16 | 13/13 | 4/4 | 0/0 | | 1 | 4 | 16 | 42 | 70 | 79 | 88 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/79 | 2/81 | 10/65 | 26/57 | 26/37 | 20/23 | 15/16 | 7/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 46 | 70 | 87 | 94 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/65 | 3/83 | 14/75 | 29/65 | 33/47 | 15/17 | 11/12 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 4 | 19 | 45 | 70 | 88 | 92 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/62 | 3/75 | 18/92 | 36/71 | 27/40 | 18/21 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 4 | 20 | 51 | 68 | 86 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/55 | 2/68 | 29/109 | 37/82 | 26/38 | 12/13 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 3 | 27 | 45 | 68 | 92 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/51 | 4/60 | 31/129 | 37/79 | 29/39 | 5/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 7 | 24 | 47 | 74 | 71 | | | | |
降水確率的中率のグラフ
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Last updated 2022/01/01
連絡先：tf2