東京地方 天気予報
降水確率精度検証結果一覧表
表の見方と注意事項
グラフ 戻る
2019/01
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/85 | 0/25 | 0/10 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 50 | | | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/1 | 0/22 | 0/5 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 50 | | | | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/2 | 0/20 | 0/3 | 0/1 | 1/3 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | | | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/20 | 0/6 | 0/1 | 1/3 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/20 | 0/6 | 1/2 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 0 | | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/19 | 0/6 | 1/5 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/18 | 0/7 | 0/4 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | | | | | | |
2019/02
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/42 | 0/43 | 0/7 | 1/7 | 0/1 | 0/3 | 5/7 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 100 | | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/1 | 0/9 | 0/9 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 1/2 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 50 | 100 | | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/12 | 0/4 | 0/1 | 0/3 | 1/3 | 2/3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 67 | 50 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 0/8 | 0/5 | 0/2 | 3/4 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/8 | 2/5 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 25 | | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/7 | 1/3 | 0/6 | 2/7 | 1/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 33 | 0 | 29 | 20 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/6 | 1/7 | 1/7 | 0/3 | 1/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 17 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 20 | | | | | |
2019/03
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/45 | 0/41 | 1/11 | 1/7 | 1/4 | 5/5 | 3/4 | 5/5 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 100 | 75 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/11 | 0/3 | 0/5 | 1/2 | 3/4 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 75 | 67 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 0/4 | 0/4 | 1/4 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 67 | | 100 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/1 | 0/7 | 0/2 | 0/6 | 2/7 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 67 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 1/4 | 2/10 | 1/4 | 2/4 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 25 | 20 | 25 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 2/6 | 2/11 | 0/2 | 4/5 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 33 | 18 | 0 | 80 | | 100 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 1/6 | 3/13 | 0/4 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 17 | 23 | 0 | 80 | 100 | | | | |
2019/04
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/36 | 1/39 | 2/16 | 1/7 | 1/1 | 4/11 | 3/4 | 4/4 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 100 | 36 | 75 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 0/6 | 2/6 | 1/3 | 5/5 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 100 | | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 0/5 | 2/5 | 3/6 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 40 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 0/5 | 3/8 | 3/7 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 38 | 43 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 1/5 | 3/11 | 2/4 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 27 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 2/7 | 5/13 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 29 | 38 | 33 | 100 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 2/10 | 4/10 | 2/4 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 40 | 50 | 100 | | | | | |
2019/05
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/30 | 0/37 | 0/29 | 3/12 | 0/1 | 1/7 | 2/4 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 14 | 50 | 50 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 1/7 | 1/8 | 0/5 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 0 | | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 0/4 | 1/10 | 1/8 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | | | 100 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/4 | 2/13 | 0/6 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 67 | 100 | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/6 | 2/11 | 2/10 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | 0 | 100 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/6 | 4/13 | 0/8 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 50 | 0 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/3 | 3/15 | 1/8 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | 25 | | | | | |
2019/06
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/12 | 0/35 | 3/20 | 0/19 | 2/5 | 6/11 | 3/8 | 3/3 | 4/4 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 40 | 55 | 38 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/2 | 1/10 | 2/4 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 50 | 67 | 100 | 75 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/4 | 0/9 | 1/2 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 100 | 60 | 75 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/10 | 1/3 | 9/11 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 0 | 33 | 82 | 100 | 50 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 0/7 | 3/7 | 8/8 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 0 | 43 | 100 | 50 | 0 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 1/11 | 5/10 | 6/6 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | | 9 | 50 | 100 | 0 | 0 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 3/9 | 5/11 | 4/6 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 33 | 45 | 67 | 0 | | | | |
2019/07
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/19 | 1/32 | 4/30 | 3/8 | 9/17 | 6/8 | 6/7 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 5 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 53 | 75 | 86 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 4/10 | 3/6 | 6/8 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 0 | 40 | 50 | 75 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 1/3 | 3/10 | 3/4 | 4/6 | 6/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 33 | 30 | 75 | 67 | 100 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 1/3 | 2/8 | 5/7 | 6/8 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 33 | 33 | 25 | 71 | 75 | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 1/3 | 4/11 | 9/11 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 33 | 36 | 82 | 75 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 7/14 | 9/12 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | | 0 | 50 | 75 | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/7 | 6/12 | 9/12 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | | 29 | 50 | 75 | | | | | |
2019/08
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/1 | 0/19 | 1/40 | 2/29 | 3/11 | 5/21 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 24 | 100 | | | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/4 | 2/12 | 2/6 | 3/4 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 17 | 33 | 75 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 1/5 | 4/15 | 0/3 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 27 | 0 | 80 | 100 | 0 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 3/10 | 3/9 | 3/5 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 30 | 33 | 60 | 100 | 0 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/7 | 3/8 | 1/6 | 5/10 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 14 | 38 | 17 | 50 | | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 4/10 | 2/5 | 4/10 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 40 | 40 | 40 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/6 | 4/11 | 6/8 | 0/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 36 | 75 | 0 | | | | | |
2019/09
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/7 | 0/35 | 1/36 | 1/20 | 4/9 | 3/7 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 44 | 43 | 50 | | | 100 | 100 |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/7 | 0/5 | 2/7 | 2/3 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 67 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/6 | 0/8 | 1/6 | 4/5 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 17 | 0 | 17 | 80 | 50 | 100 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/5 | 0/7 | 6/10 | 2/4 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 50 | 33 | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/4 | 2/10 | 3/7 | 3/7 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 20 | 43 | 43 | 100 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/3 | 4/13 | 2/7 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 31 | 29 | 50 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 4/13 | 3/8 | 2/4 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 31 | 38 | 50 | 0 | | | | |
2019/10
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/17 | 0/31 | 2/27 | 1/12 | 1/6 | 7/10 | 5/5 | 2/4 | 4/4 | 3/3 | 5/5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 70 | 100 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 1/3 | 1/6 | 3/6 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 3/4 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | | 0 | 33 | 17 | 50 | 75 | 100 | 75 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 2/5 | 1/2 | 2/6 | 2/7 | 2/3 | 3/3 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 40 | 50 | 33 | 29 | 67 | 100 | 67 | 100 | 100 | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 2/3 | 2/6 | 3/6 | 4/7 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 50 | 67 | 33 | 50 | 57 | 67 | 0 | | 100 | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 5/12 | 3/5 | 3/6 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 33 | 100 | 42 | 60 | 50 | 100 | 0 | 100 | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 2/5 | 6/11 | 4/8 | 3/5 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 100 | 40 | 55 | 50 | 60 | 0 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 4/4 | 6/14 | 4/10 | 2/2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 100 | 43 | 40 | 100 | 0 | | | | |
2019/11
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/48 | 0/27 | 3/16 | 3/7 | 1/7 | 6/8 | 3/4 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 43 | 14 | 75 | 75 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/15 | 1/1 | 1/4 | 1/2 | 5/5 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 100 | 25 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/12 | 1/2 | 1/6 | 2/3 | 5/5 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 50 | 17 | 67 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/10 | 0/3 | 2/7 | 6/6 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 29 | 100 | 75 | | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 7/8 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 20 | 88 | 67 | | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 1/7 | 5/11 | 4/4 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 14 | 45 | 100 | 50 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 4/10 | 3/9 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 40 | 33 | 75 | 100 | | | | | |
2019/12
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/42 | 0/39 | 1/18 | 0/7 | 1/6 | 1/3 | 3/6 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 33 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/10 | 0/6 | 0/5 | 0/2 | 4/5 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 50 | 100 | | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/9 | 0/3 | 1/9 | 1/4 | 3/4 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 11 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 75 | 0 | 100 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/8 | 0/5 | 1/8 | 1/3 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 13 | 0 | 13 | 33 | 50 | | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 1/8 | 2/8 | 1/3 | 3/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 13 | 25 | 33 | 43 | | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 2/8 | 1/10 | 1/4 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 25 | 10 | 25 | 50 | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 2/6 | 2/14 | 0/1 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 33 | 14 | 0 | 60 | | | | | |
2019合計
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/365 | 2/390 | 15/262 | 17/159 | 17/59 | 47/103 | 39/59 | 27/31 | 18/18 | 8/8 | 6/6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 46 | 66 | 87 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| 2日前予報 | 0/2 | 1/89 | 3/55 | 8/64 | 16/47 | 31/46 | 16/24 | 19/21 | 11/11 | 6/6 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 67 | 67 | 90 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/2 | 3/85 | 4/43 | 12/77 | 16/59 | 33/44 | 20/28 | 17/21 | 5/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 27 | 75 | 71 | 81 | 100 | 100 | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/1 | 3/66 | 3/52 | 14/84 | 28/70 | 39/58 | 15/21 | 6/10 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 40 | 67 | 71 | 60 | 100 | 100 | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/58 | 7/58 | 22/95 | 29/72 | 39/65 | 10/12 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 2 | 12 | 23 | 40 | 60 | 83 | 50 | 100 | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/52 | 10/57 | 33/117 | 28/73 | 36/59 | 2/5 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 2 | 18 | 28 | 38 | 61 | 40 | 50 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/43 | 14/66 | 35/126 | 31/75 | 29/51 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 2 | 21 | 28 | 41 | 57 | 25 | | | | |
降水確率的中率のグラフ
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Last updated 2020/01/01
連絡先：tf2