東京地方 天気予報
降水確率精度検証結果一覧表
表の見方と注意事項
グラフ 戻る
2016/01
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/54 | 0/41 | 0/15 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 50 | 33 | | 50 | 100 | 100 |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/17 | 0/7 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 50 | | | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/16 | 0/8 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 100 | | 100 | 100 | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/14 | 0/8 | 1/3 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 67 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/15 | 1/6 | 0/5 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/14 | 1/8 | 1/3 | 1/4 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 13 | 33 | 25 | 0 | | 100 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/14 | 1/5 | 2/10 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 20 | | 0 | 100 | | | | |
2016/02
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/34 | 0/46 | 1/19 | 0/7 | 0/1 | 0/3 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | | | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/12 | 0/8 | 1/4 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 100 | | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/12 | 0/6 | 1/6 | 0/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 50 | | | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 0/6 | 1/5 | 0/4 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 0 | | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 0/5 | 1/7 | 0/3 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 25 | | 50 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/7 | 0/7 | 1/8 | 0/4 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 67 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 1/7 | 1/9 | 0/6 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 14 | 11 | 0 | 100 | | | | | |
2016/03
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/42 | 0/34 | 0/14 | 1/12 | 1/4 | 1/5 | 3/6 | 2/3 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 20 | 50 | 67 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/13 | 1/7 | 0/2 | 0/2 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 67 | | 100 | 50 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/11 | 1/10 | 0/3 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | | 50 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/10 | 1/5 | 0/6 | 1/5 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 0 | 20 | | 50 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 0/8 | 1/8 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 33 | 100 | 33 | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 1/10 | 0/4 | 1/2 | 2/4 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 10 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 67 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 0/6 | 3/12 | 2/5 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 25 | 40 | 33 | | | | | |
2016/04
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/34 | 1/35 | 2/21 | 2/6 | 1/3 | 5/12 | 1/1 | 3/3 | 4/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 33 | 42 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/10 | 0/1 | 2/6 | 2/2 | 2/5 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 33 | 100 | 40 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 0/4 | 3/7 | 2/6 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 43 | 33 | 100 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 1/5 | 3/8 | 2/6 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 38 | 33 | | 67 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/4 | 4/9 | 3/7 | 0/2 | 3/3 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 44 | 43 | 0 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/4 | 0/6 | 6/10 | 2/3 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 67 | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/4 | 4/10 | 3/7 | 3/4 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 40 | 43 | 75 | 100 | | | | |
2016/05
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/54 | 0/33 | 0/12 | 1/6 | 1/2 | 2/5 | 4/6 | 3/3 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 50 | 40 | 67 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/9 | 1/9 | 0/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 11 | 11 | 0 | | | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/10 | 1/9 | 1/2 | 0/3 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 11 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/11 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 0/2 | 3/5 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 60 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/7 | 1/8 | 1/5 | 1/4 | 2/4 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 13 | 20 | 25 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 1/8 | 0/4 | 3/10 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 13 | 0 | 30 | 67 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/9 | 2/10 | 3/10 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 11 | 20 | 30 | 100 | | 100 | | | |
2016/06
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/18 | 0/31 | 1/24 | 1/16 | 1/2 | 5/13 | 4/8 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 50 | 38 | 50 | 80 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 1/8 | 1/3 | 1/4 | 1/1 | 3/5 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 13 | 33 | 25 | 100 | 60 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 1/2 | 0/3 | 3/8 | 2/5 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 50 | 0 | 38 | 40 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 1/5 | 2/4 | 3/6 | 3/5 | 2/3 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 50 | 50 | 60 | 67 | 33 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 1/6 | 3/7 | 4/7 | 2/5 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 17 | 43 | 57 | 40 | 67 | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 1/4 | 3/9 | 5/10 | 2/4 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 25 | 33 | 50 | 50 | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 1/3 | 2/9 | 8/12 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 33 | 22 | 67 | 40 | | | | | |
2016/07
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/6 | 0/46 | 2/31 | 1/15 | 2/8 | 4/9 | 2/4 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 44 | 50 | 75 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 1/10 | 0/5 | 4/9 | 2/2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 10 | 0 | 44 | 100 | 0 | | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/3 | 3/13 | 5/10 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 23 | 50 | 33 | | 100 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/2 | 4/12 | 4/10 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 33 | 40 | 33 | 50 | 0 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 3/10 | 4/13 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 30 | 31 | 50 | 100 | 0 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 2/9 | 5/14 | 1/4 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 22 | 36 | 25 | 67 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 3/7 | 6/20 | 1/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | | 43 | 30 | 50 | 0 | | | | |
2016/08
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/4 | 0/32 | 0/22 | 2/11 | 4/15 | 4/14 | 9/18 | 4/5 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 27 | 29 | 50 | 80 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/5 | 3/7 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 3/4 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 43 | 50 | | | 67 | 100 | 75 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 2/5 | 4/6 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 40 | 67 | 50 | 100 | 80 | 100 | 0 | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/5 | 2/7 | 4/6 | 2/3 | 3/3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 29 | 67 | 67 | 100 | 50 | | 100 | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/6 | 3/9 | 4/6 | 1/1 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 33 | 67 | 100 | 80 | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/7 | 3/9 | 5/8 | 0/0 | 5/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 33 | 63 | | 83 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 1/5 | 4/13 | 4/6 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 31 | 67 | 75 | 100 | | | | |
2016/09
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/2 | 1/24 | 3/31 | 3/17 | 3/9 | 3/8 | 8/20 | 4/4 | 4/4 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 38 | 40 | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 1/3 | 0/2 | 3/6 | 3/4 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 2/4 | 3/3 | 0/0 | | 0 | 33 | 0 | 50 | 75 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/4 | 3/6 | 3/6 | 3/5 | 1/1 | 1/3 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 60 | 100 | 33 | 67 | 100 | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 2/6 | 3/4 | 7/10 | 0/2 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 33 | 75 | 70 | 0 | 33 | 50 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/3 | 0/3 | 4/4 | 6/12 | 3/4 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 50 | 75 | 50 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/2 | 3/8 | 3/5 | 5/9 | 1/2 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 38 | 60 | 56 | 50 | 67 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 3/8 | 8/15 | 2/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 38 | 53 | 40 | 100 | | | | |
2016/10
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/36 | 0/36 | 0/20 | 1/13 | 1/3 | 1/4 | 6/7 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 25 | 86 | 60 | | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 0/9 | 1/3 | 2/3 | 2/5 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 33 | 67 | 40 | 67 | 100 | | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/8 | 2/6 | 1/7 | 0/1 | 1/3 | 2/3 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 13 | 33 | 14 | 0 | 33 | 67 | 50 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 2/5 | 0/7 | 2/7 | 1/4 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 40 | 0 | 29 | 25 | 33 | 50 | 67 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 1/6 | 2/6 | 2/9 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 17 | 33 | 22 | 50 | 50 | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 1/6 | 2/10 | 3/7 | 3/5 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 17 | 20 | 43 | 60 | 0 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 1/6 | 4/11 | 4/12 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 17 | 36 | 33 | | | | | | |
2016/11
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/48 | 0/32 | 2/13 | 1/2 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 6/8 | 0/0 | 4/5 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 50 | 60 | 40 | 75 | | 80 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/13 | 1/4 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 3/3 | 2/2 | 0/0 | | 8 | 25 | 100 | 100 | 50 | 100 | 50 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/14 | 1/3 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 7 | 33 | 67 | 100 | 100 | | 0 | 100 | 100 | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 2/13 | 1/5 | 1/2 | 4/4 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 15 | 20 | 50 | 100 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 2/7 | 3/4 | 3/4 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 29 | 75 | 75 | 75 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 3/9 | 5/8 | 3/6 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 33 | 63 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 4/11 | 5/10 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 36 | 50 | 50 | | 100 | | | | |
2016/12
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/59 | 0/36 | 1/13 | 2/6 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 5/6 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 0 | 100 | 83 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/20 | 0/1 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 50 | | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/19 | 0/2 | 2/2 | 0/2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/15 | 0/4 | 1/4 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 25 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/13 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 4/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 0 | 100 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/10 | 2/11 | 0/1 | 0/2 | 2/3 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 1/11 | 4/6 | 0/3 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 9 | 67 | 0 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
2016合計
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/391 | 2/426 | 12/235 | 15/112 | 17/53 | 30/83 | 51/91 | 27/33 | 24/26 | 11/12 | 2/2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 36 | 56 | 82 | 92 | 92 | 100 |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 2/112 | 6/72 | 11/44 | 17/38 | 17/28 | 11/16 | 13/16 | 24/27 | 12/13 | 0/0 | | 2 | 8 | 25 | 45 | 61 | 69 | 81 | 89 | 92 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 2/107 | 6/62 | 18/58 | 20/48 | 16/30 | 12/14 | 17/22 | 18/20 | 4/5 | 0/0 | | 2 | 10 | 31 | 42 | 53 | 86 | 77 | 90 | 80 | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 4/91 | 5/58 | 20/69 | 23/54 | 19/36 | 16/23 | 21/29 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 4 | 9 | 29 | 43 | 53 | 70 | 72 | 80 | 100 | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/71 | 7/66 | 21/78 | 27/62 | 20/42 | 23/29 | 15/18 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 11 | 27 | 44 | 48 | 79 | 83 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/56 | 10/77 | 20/79 | 35/82 | 22/40 | 21/26 | 5/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 13 | 25 | 43 | 55 | 81 | 83 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/43 | 11/68 | 37/115 | 41/102 | 16/28 | 7/9 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 16 | 32 | 40 | 57 | 78 | 100 | | | |
年合計
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/391 | 2/426 | 12/235 | 15/112 | 17/53 | 30/83 | 51/91 | 27/33 | 24/26 | 11/12 | 2/2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 36 | 56 | 82 | 92 | 92 | 100 |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 2/112 | 6/72 | 11/44 | 17/38 | 17/28 | 11/16 | 13/16 | 24/27 | 12/13 | 0/0 | | 2 | 8 | 25 | 45 | 61 | 69 | 81 | 89 | 92 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 2/107 | 6/62 | 18/58 | 20/48 | 16/30 | 12/14 | 17/22 | 18/20 | 4/5 | 0/0 | | 2 | 10 | 31 | 42 | 53 | 86 | 77 | 90 | 80 | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 4/91 | 5/58 | 20/69 | 23/54 | 19/36 | 16/23 | 21/29 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 4 | 9 | 29 | 43 | 53 | 70 | 72 | 80 | 100 | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/71 | 7/66 | 21/78 | 27/62 | 20/42 | 23/29 | 15/18 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 11 | 27 | 44 | 48 | 79 | 83 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/56 | 10/77 | 20/79 | 35/82 | 22/40 | 21/26 | 5/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 13 | 25 | 43 | 55 | 81 | 83 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/43 | 11/68 | 37/115 | 41/102 | 16/28 | 7/9 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 16 | 32 | 40 | 57 | 78 | 100 | | | |
降水確率的中率のグラフ
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Last updated 2017/01/02
連絡先：tf2