東京地方 天気予報
降水確率精度検証結果一覧表
表の見方と注意事項
グラフ 戻る
2015/01
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/64 | 0/37 | 0/5 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 2/5 | 3/3 | 4/4 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | | 40 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/11 | 0/12 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 4/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 100 | | 80 | | | | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 0/11 | 0/4 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/8 | 0/11 | 1/6 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 13 | 0 | 17 | 100 | 0 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 1/13 | 2/6 | 0/1 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 8 | 33 | 0 | 75 | | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 1/19 | 2/3 | 3/5 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 5 | 67 | 60 | 50 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 2/17 | 0/4 | 4/5 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 12 | 0 | 80 | 50 | | | | | |
2015/02
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/47 | 2/34 | 0/8 | 2/5 | 0/2 | 2/5 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 40 | 33 | 100 | 80 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/12 | 0/5 | 0/2 | 1/2 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 75 | 100 | | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/9 | 0/8 | 1/3 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 11 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | 100 | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/7 | 0/10 | 1/2 | 2/4 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 14 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 1/7 | 1/6 | 3/4 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 14 | 17 | 75 | 50 | 50 | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/7 | 1/5 | 1/4 | 5/9 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 25 | 56 | 33 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 1/9 | 5/9 | 2/6 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 11 | 56 | 33 | 0 | | | | | |
2015/03
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/42 | 0/42 | 0/9 | 0/5 | 1/8 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/2 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | 60 | 50 | 67 | 100 | 100 |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/10 | 1/5 | 0/3 | 1/5 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 0 | 20 | 33 | 100 | 100 | 50 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 0/3 | 0/8 | 2/3 | 1/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 20 | | | 100 | 100 | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 0/7 | 2/9 | 1/1 | 0/3 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 22 | 100 | 0 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/10 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 1/4 | 1/3 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 20 | 25 | 33 | 100 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 0/10 | 1/5 | 1/4 | 1/2 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 20 | 25 | 50 | 75 | 100 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 1/8 | 1/11 | 2/4 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 13 | 9 | 50 | 50 | 100 | | | | |
2015/04
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/25 | 1/36 | 1/18 | 2/7 | 3/9 | 2/5 | 4/6 | 4/5 | 4/4 | 5/5 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 33 | 40 | 67 | 80 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 1/4 | 0/5 | 2/4 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 25 | 0 | 50 | 75 | | 67 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/6 | 0/4 | 1/4 | 3/6 | 0/1 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 4/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 17 | 0 | 25 | 50 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 100 | 100 | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 2/5 | 1/6 | 3/7 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 2/3 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 40 | 17 | 43 | 0 | 100 | 67 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 2/7 | 2/4 | 2/8 | 1/2 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 29 | 50 | 25 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 1/8 | 3/6 | 2/6 | 3/5 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 13 | 50 | 33 | 60 | 67 | 100 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 1/9 | 5/9 | 3/6 | 2/3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 11 | 56 | 50 | 67 | 50 | | | | |
2015/05
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/38 | 0/44 | 0/20 | 1/7 | 3/3 | 1/6 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 100 | 17 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 1/5 | 1/8 | 0/1 | 2/5 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 13 | 0 | 40 | 100 | 0 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/8 | 0/5 | 1/7 | 0/2 | 0/2 | 3/4 | 0/1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 13 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 0 | 50 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 2/7 | 0/6 | 1/4 | 0/3 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 29 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 100 | 50 | 0 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 2/10 | 1/7 | 0/2 | 1/6 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 14 | 0 | 17 | 67 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 1/7 | 2/10 | 0/2 | 1/7 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 14 | 20 | 0 | 14 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/7 | 4/13 | 1/8 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 31 | 13 | | 100 | | | | |
2015/06
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/13 | 0/38 | 1/27 | 1/14 | 2/5 | 3/7 | 4/6 | 3/5 | 4/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 43 | 67 | 60 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/6 | 2/8 | 1/2 | 2/5 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 25 | 50 | 40 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/6 | 1/7 | 1/4 | 3/6 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | | 17 | 14 | 25 | 50 | 75 | | 100 | 100 | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 2/4 | 1/4 | 3/5 | 2/3 | 3/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 50 | 25 | 60 | 67 | 60 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/5 | 1/7 | 5/8 | 5/7 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 14 | 63 | 71 | 50 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 2/5 | 2/8 | 6/11 | 2/4 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 40 | 25 | 55 | 50 | 0 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 3/12 | 6/12 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 100 | 0 | 25 | 50 | 50 | | | | | |
2015/07
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/15 | 1/32 | 3/26 | 2/16 | 0/0 | 4/10 | 5/9 | 9/9 | 5/5 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | | 40 | 56 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/6 | 2/9 | 1/3 | 2/4 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 22 | 33 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/8 | 2/8 | 1/5 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 25 | 20 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 3/10 | 2/2 | 2/5 | 1/1 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 30 | 100 | 40 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 2/12 | 4/8 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 17 | 50 | 67 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 2/18 | 5/6 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 11 | 83 | 75 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 2/17 | 6/8 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 12 | 75 | 75 | 100 | | | | |
2015/08
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/2 | 0/26 | 1/40 | 1/12 | 0/8 | 6/15 | 6/16 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 40 | 38 | 75 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/7 | 2/7 | 4/7 | 3/6 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 29 | 57 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/9 | 3/12 | 2/4 | 3/3 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 22 | 25 | 50 | 100 | 50 | 100 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 1/8 | 4/11 | 4/7 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 13 | 36 | 57 | 100 | 50 | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 2/6 | 4/11 | 4/8 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 33 | 36 | 50 | 50 | 100 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 3/6 | 6/15 | 3/6 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 50 | 40 | 50 | 0 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 1/7 | 10/19 | 1/3 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 14 | 53 | 33 | 0 | | | | | |
2015/09
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/18 | 0/40 | 3/18 | 4/9 | 1/2 | 6/11 | 6/6 | 6/6 | 6/6 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 44 | 50 | 55 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/5 | 0/8 | 0/2 | 1/1 | 3/4 | 4/4 | 3/3 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 20 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 75 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/5 | 0/7 | 2/4 | 0/1 | 2/3 | 4/4 | 4/4 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 20 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 67 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 3/9 | 1/6 | 1/2 | 3/3 | 4/4 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 33 | 17 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 3/9 | 3/8 | 0/1 | 4/4 | 2/3 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 33 | 38 | 0 | 100 | 67 | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 2/7 | 2/8 | 4/5 | 1/2 | 4/4 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 29 | 25 | 80 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 2/6 | 6/11 | 1/4 | 4/5 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 33 | 55 | 25 | 80 | 100 | | | | |
2015/10
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/54 | 0/42 | 0/12 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 8/9 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 50 | 50 | 89 | | | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/18 | 0/4 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 3/7 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | | 100 | 43 | | 100 | | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/17 | 0/6 | 1/1 | 2/3 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 100 | 67 | 0 | | 100 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/15 | 0/8 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 100 | 50 | 0 | | 100 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/15 | 0/9 | 2/2 | 2/3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 100 | 67 | 50 | | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/12 | 2/10 | 0/3 | 2/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 0 | 40 | 100 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 3/15 | 2/9 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 22 | 0 | | | | | | |
2015/11
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/36 | 0/39 | 1/8 | 0/7 | 0/3 | 2/5 | 6/10 | 5/6 | 5/5 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 60 | 83 | 100 | | 100 |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/12 | 0/3 | 0/1 | 2/3 | 4/4 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 100 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 0/6 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 2/3 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 50 | 100 | 50 | 67 | 100 | | 100 | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/7 | 0/5 | 1/4 | 4/5 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 25 | 80 | 67 | 100 | 67 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 1/4 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 3/3 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 25 | 20 | 60 | 100 | 75 | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 1/8 | 3/7 | 2/3 | 3/3 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 13 | 43 | 67 | 100 | 75 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/7 | 0/6 | 3/6 | 6/8 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 50 | 75 | 100 | | | | | |
2015/12
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/49 | 0/41 | 0/18 | 1/6 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | | 50 | 67 | 100 | | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/13 | 1/7 | 0/2 | 1/3 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 14 | 0 | 33 | 67 | | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/14 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 0/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 40 | 20 | 0 | 50 | | 100 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/18 | 2/5 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 6 | 40 | 0 | 0 | | 67 | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/14 | 1/9 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 7 | 11 | 33 | 100 | | 50 | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/13 | 1/9 | 1/3 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 8 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/12 | 1/10 | 1/5 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 8 | 10 | 20 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
2015合計
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/403 | 4/451 | 10/209 | 16/93 | 11/42 | 32/80 | 50/80 | 40/46 | 34/36 | 18/18 | 2/2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 40 | 63 | 87 | 94 | 100 | 100 |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 2/101 | 4/72 | 8/48 | 15/32 | 32/54 | 12/13 | 15/17 | 18/19 | 9/9 | 0/0 | | 2 | 6 | 17 | 47 | 59 | 92 | 88 | 95 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 4/85 | 5/78 | 14/65 | 16/38 | 16/31 | 19/24 | 18/20 | 17/18 | 6/6 | 0/0 | | 5 | 6 | 22 | 42 | 52 | 79 | 90 | 94 | 100 | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 3/75 | 10/92 | 18/68 | 21/40 | 12/29 | 21/25 | 19/24 | 11/12 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 4 | 11 | 26 | 53 | 41 | 84 | 79 | 92 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/72 | 13/88 | 21/76 | 25/53 | 23/38 | 20/26 | 11/11 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 1 | 15 | 28 | 47 | 61 | 77 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/54 | 15/95 | 25/90 | 34/65 | 18/35 | 16/20 | 6/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 2 | 16 | 28 | 52 | 51 | 80 | 100 | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 2/41 | 12/96 | 42/125 | 34/68 | 17/26 | 8/9 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 5 | 13 | 34 | 50 | 65 | 89 | | | | |
降水確率的中率のグラフ
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Last updated 2016/01/01
連絡先：tf2