東京地方 天気予報
降水確率精度検証結果一覧表
表の見方と注意事項
グラフ 戻る
2006/01
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/41 | 0/39 | 0/22 | 1/10 | 0/1 | 3/6 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 100 | | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/16 | 0/2 | 0/6 | 0/2 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 0 | | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/14 | 0/1 | 0/4 | 0/4 | 1/5 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 67 | | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/11 | 0/8 | 0/1 | 0/4 | 2/5 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 50 | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/14 | 0/5 | 0/1 | 0/3 | 3/8 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/13 | 0/2 | 1/6 | 0/3 | 2/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 29 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 0/8 | 0/2 | 1/8 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 50 | | | | | |
2006/02
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/24 | 0/37 | 0/21 | 1/13 | 0/1 | 3/7 | 1/2 | 5/5 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 43 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/12 | 0/4 | 0/1 | 0/5 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/10 | 0/5 | 0/0 | 1/6 | 1/2 | 4/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | | 17 | 50 | 80 | | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 0/5 | 0/1 | 0/6 | 1/3 | 5/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 100 | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/9 | 3/4 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 75 | 75 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 1/7 | 0/1 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 14 | 0 | 20 | 60 | 50 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/7 | 1/7 | 0/4 | 1/4 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 14 | 14 | 0 | 25 | 50 | | | | | |
2006/03
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/31 | 1/38 | 0/25 | 1/12 | 0/4 | 3/6 | 1/1 | 3/4 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 50 | 100 | 75 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 1/6 | 0/3 | 1/7 | 1/4 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 17 | 0 | 14 | 25 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/7 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 2/4 | 0/2 | 4/6 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 67 | 50 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 2/5 | 0/6 | 4/6 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 67 | 50 | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 2/6 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 6/10 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 0 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 1/5 | 2/7 | 2/7 | 3/8 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 29 | 29 | 38 | 0 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/6 | 1/8 | 2/9 | 3/8 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 33 | 13 | 22 | 38 | | | | | |
2006/04
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/32 | 0/36 | 2/17 | 3/7 | 2/6 | 2/11 | 3/5 | 2/4 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 43 | 33 | 18 | 60 | 50 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/10 | 0/6 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1/4 | 3/3 | 3/3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 10 | 0 | 50 | | 25 | 100 | 100 | 50 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/7 | 0/3 | 0/6 | 2/4 | 0/1 | 7/8 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 14 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 88 | 0 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/6 | 0/3 | 0/4 | 1/6 | 2/3 | 6/8 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 17 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 67 | 75 | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/4 | 0/4 | 1/3 | 3/11 | 3/5 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 25 | 0 | 33 | 27 | 60 | 67 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 1/4 | 2/7 | 3/11 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 25 | 29 | 27 | 67 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/6 | 3/10 | 3/9 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 33 | 30 | 33 | 40 | | | | | |
2006/05
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/29 | 0/30 | 3/22 | 2/11 | 1/3 | 8/15 | 7/9 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | 33 | 53 | 78 | 67 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 0/3 | 2/4 | 3/6 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 4/4 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 67 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/7 | 1/5 | 2/6 | 2/4 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 14 | 20 | 33 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 0 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 1/6 | 2/7 | 3/6 | 2/2 | 3/5 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 17 | 29 | 50 | 100 | 60 | 100 | 50 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 1/7 | 2/5 | 2/7 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 14 | 40 | 29 | 100 | 60 | 0 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/6 | 0/4 | 5/12 | 3/3 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 17 | 0 | 42 | 100 | 67 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/7 | 9/16 | 4/4 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 0 | 56 | 100 | 0 | | | | |
2006/06
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/4 | 0/47 | 2/23 | 1/14 | 2/6 | 5/16 | 1/3 | 4/4 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 31 | 33 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 0/2 | 0/8 | 2/5 | 0/5 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 33 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 50 | 100 | 75 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 2/5 | 0/4 | 1/5 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1/8 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 40 | 0 | 20 | 50 | | 100 | 13 | 0 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 1/5 | 1/1 | 3/6 | 1/9 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 33 | 50 | 20 | 100 | 50 | 11 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/2 | 1/2 | 2/10 | 3/8 | 2/5 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 50 | 20 | 38 | 40 | 0 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 2/9 | 4/12 | 2/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | | 0 | 22 | 33 | 33 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 3/11 | 4/11 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | | 0 | 27 | 36 | 25 | | | | |
2006/07
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/23 | 2/35 | 6/31 | 2/6 | 3/15 | 6/7 | 7/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 20 | 86 | 100 | | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/8 | 4/7 | 3/8 | 0/2 | 3/3 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 100 | 0 | 57 | 38 | 0 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 1/4 | 3/10 | 1/2 | 1/3 | 5/7 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 50 | 25 | 30 | 50 | 33 | 71 | 33 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 1/4 | 3/6 | 5/8 | 1/6 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 25 | 50 | 63 | 17 | 50 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 1/2 | 3/10 | 4/9 | 5/7 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 50 | 30 | 44 | 71 | 0 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/4 | 6/12 | 4/10 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 0 | 50 | 40 | 75 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 8/19 | 3/7 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | | 0 | 42 | 43 | 100 | | | | |
2006/08
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/4 | 0/34 | 2/37 | 1/26 | 4/9 | 3/10 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 30 | 100 | | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 1/14 | 0/5 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 7 | 0 | 100 | 50 | 75 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 2/12 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 17 | 20 | 40 | 50 | 100 | 50 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 1/10 | 2/7 | 2/8 | 2/3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 10 | 29 | 25 | 67 | 50 | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 5/11 | 2/9 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 45 | 22 | 0 | 100 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 5/12 | 3/10 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 42 | 30 | 0 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 4/17 | 4/9 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 24 | 44 | 0 | | | | | |
2006/09
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/12 | 0/35 | 1/29 | 3/10 | 1/8 | 4/11 | 5/7 | 1/2 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 36 | 71 | 50 | 80 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/7 | 0/5 | 1/7 | 2/5 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 14 | 0 | 14 | 40 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 0/8 | 2/5 | 0/3 | 0/1 | 2/3 | 4/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 33 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 57 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 3/7 | 1/2 | 2/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 20 | 20 | 0 | 43 | 50 | 40 | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 0/7 | 4/9 | 1/3 | 3/8 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 50 | 0 | 44 | 33 | 38 | 0 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 1/4 | 4/9 | 0/5 | 4/9 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 25 | 44 | 0 | 44 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/9 | 1/5 | 3/10 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 22 | 20 | 30 | 50 | | | | | |
2006/10
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/36 | 1/31 | 2/17 | 5/11 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 3/4 | 3/4 | 7/7 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 20 | 0 | 75 | 75 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 1/9 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 1/2 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 6/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 11 | 50 | 0 | 50 | 67 | | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/11 | 2/8 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 3/3 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 25 | 33 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 1/10 | 1/3 | 3/3 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 10 | 33 | 100 | 80 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 1/10 | 4/6 | 1/2 | 3/3 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 10 | 67 | 50 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 3/15 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 20 | 40 | 80 | 100 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 2/15 | 2/6 | 5/7 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 50 | 13 | 33 | 71 | 100 | | | | | |
2006/11
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 1/36 | 0/32 | 2/21 | 1/11 | 0/2 | 4/10 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 40 | 50 | 0 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/12 | 1/4 | 0/4 | 0/1 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 1/9 | 1/4 | 1/4 | 3/3 | 3/3 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 11 | 25 | 25 | 100 | 100 | 0 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/8 | 2/7 | 0/4 | 0/4 | 3/4 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 13 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 100 | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 2/11 | 1/5 | 0/3 | 3/4 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 18 | 20 | 0 | 75 | 100 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/10 | 3/7 | 1/6 | 4/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 43 | 17 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/11 | 2/5 | 2/7 | 4/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 40 | 29 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
2006/12
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/49 | 0/34 | 1/13 | 1/7 | 1/4 | 1/9 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 25 | 11 | 67 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/16 | 0/2 | 1/3 | 0/1 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 67 | 100 | 33 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/15 | 0/3 | 1/3 | 2/5 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 33 | 40 | 0 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/14 | 0/2 | 0/4 | 2/5 | 3/3 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 100 | 67 | | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 0/8 | 1/3 | 0/3 | 6/7 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 86 | 0 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/10 | 0/9 | 1/5 | 1/2 | 4/4 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 10 | 0 | 20 | 50 | 100 | 0 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/8 | 2/11 | 0/5 | 1/4 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 13 | 18 | 0 | 25 | 100 | | | | | |
2006合計
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 1/298 | 2/416 | 17/282 | 26/163 | 14/55 | 39/121 | 34/49 | 30/37 | 26/27 | 10/10 | 2/2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 32 | 69 | 81 | 96 | 100 | 100 |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 2/95 | 6/60 | 5/51 | 12/43 | 16/40 | 17/24 | 20/22 | 26/29 | 1/1 | 0/0 | | 2 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 40 | 71 | 91 | 90 | 100 | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 5/89 | 8/65 | 10/50 | 18/55 | 12/24 | 32/40 | 18/34 | 2/8 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 6 | 12 | 20 | 33 | 50 | 80 | 53 | 25 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 3/72 | 7/65 | 9/47 | 18/66 | 30/45 | 30/50 | 7/18 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 4 | 11 | 19 | 27 | 67 | 60 | 39 | 50 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 2/55 | 6/71 | 20/54 | 14/75 | 42/72 | 21/34 | 0/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 4 | 8 | 37 | 19 | 58 | 62 | 0 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 1/45 | 8/71 | 20/70 | 28/87 | 37/71 | 11/21 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 2 | 11 | 29 | 32 | 52 | 52 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 3/28 | 11/79 | 13/76 | 42/113 | 32/60 | 4/9 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 11 | 14 | 17 | 37 | 53 | 44 | | | | |
降水確率的中率のグラフ
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Last updated 2007/05/02
連絡先：tf2